Great Recession/Timelines
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Prelude (trends: January 2000 to June 2007)
Capital flows:
- Flows of capital into the advanced countries, rising from about 8 per cent of world GDP in 2002 to about 16 per cent in 2007
US Monetary policy
- Progressive discount rate reductions by the Federal Reserve reducing the federal funds rate from 6 per cent in 2000 to 1 per cent in 2003, followed by increases to 5.25 per cent in 2006)[1].
US housing boom and bust
- The average house price rises by 80% [2] between 2001 and 2006 and then falls by 8% from its 2006 peak to mid-2007 .
Financial crisis (June 2007 to December 2008)
June 2007
- US Credit rating agencies downgrade over 100 bonds backed by subprime mortgages.
- Two of the Bear Stearns'' investment bank's hedge funds are threatened by losses from mortgage defaults [3].
August 2007
- The French BNP Paribas bank announces that it is unable to value bonds backed by US house mortgages[4]
- The interbank market is near collapse [5].
September 2007
March 2008
- The US Bear Stearns investment bank is rescued [7].
August 2008
- The US government-sponsored house mortgage lenders Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are rescued from bankruptcy [8].
September 2008
- The US Lehman Brothers investment bank is bankrupt [9][10][11] with losses of $365 billion to insurers of its bonds. $785m worth of its funds are written off and money market investors suffer a massive loss [12].
- There is panic in the money market and a halt in trading in the interbank market.
- There are multiple bank failures and rescues in the United States and Europe.
- (See The Crash stage 3/September timeline of the Crash of 2008 article).
October 2008
- There are nationwide bank rescues, recapitalisations, depositor guarantees by United States and European govermments'
- (See The Crash stage 3/October timeline of the Crash of 2008 article).