Great Recession/Timelines: Difference between revisions
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==The 1980s== | ==The 1980s== | ||
* Financial deregulation [http://landru.i-link-2.net/monques/dereg80.html], [http://www.fdic.gov/regulations/laws/rules/8000-4100.html]. | * Financial deregulation [http://landru.i-link-2.net/monques/dereg80.html], [http://www.fdic.gov/regulations/laws/rules/8000-4100.html]. | ||
* The US ''Savings and Loans'' crisis - failure of 296 US "''Savings and Loans''" mortgage lenders [http://www.fdic.gov/bank/analytical/banking/2000dec/brv13n2_2.pdf] | * The US ''Savings and Loans'' crisis - failure of 296 US "''Savings and Loans''" [[mortgage]] lenders [http://www.fdic.gov/bank/analytical/banking/2000dec/brv13n2_2.pdf] | ||
==1990 - 2003== | ==1990 - 2003== | ||
* Progressive discount rate cuts by Federal Reserve | * Progressive [[discount rate]] cuts by the [[Federal Reserve System|Federal Reserve]] (from 7% in 1990 t0 0.75% in 2003 [http://www.the-privateer.com/rates.html]. | ||
* The United States housing boom begins (prices rise by 8% between 2002 and 2003) | * The United States housing boom begins (prices rise by 8% between 2002 and 2003) | ||
== 2003 - 2006== | == 2003 - 2006== | ||
* The Federal Reserve | * The [[Federal Reserve System|Federal Reserve]] makes a series of discount rate increases (from 0.75% to 6.25% in 2006). | ||
* The US housing boom continues [http://www2.standardandpoors.com/spf/pdf/index/CSHomePrice_Release_112766.pdf] (Average 2006 house price about 70% above 2000 level) | * The US housing boom continues [http://www2.standardandpoors.com/spf/pdf/index/CSHomePrice_Release_112766.pdf] (Average 2006 house price about 70% above 2000 level) | ||
==2007== | ==2007== | ||
===June=== | ===June=== | ||
*25 Two of the ''Bear Stearns'' | *25 Two of the ''Bear Stearns'' bank's [[hedge fund]]s suffer losses from mortgage [[default]]s [http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&refer=home&sid=aYDTeHYnV3ms]. | ||
===August=== | ===August=== | ||
* 6 The ''American Home Mortgage Corporation''goes bankrupt [http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/industry_sectors/banking_and_finance/article2208983.ece]. | * 6 The ''American Home Mortgage Corporation''goes bankrupt [http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/industry_sectors/banking_and_finance/article2208983.ece]. | ||
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* The British ''Northern Rock'' bank is "nationalised'' [http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7249575.stm]. | * The British ''Northern Rock'' bank is "nationalised'' [http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7249575.stm]. | ||
===March=== | ===March=== | ||
*The US ''Bear Stearns'' bank is rescued following losses relating to mortgage-related assets by its hedge | *The US ''Bear Stearns'' bank is rescued following losses relating to mortgage-related assets by its [[hedge fund]]s. [http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSN1438968020080315] | ||
===April=== | ===April=== | ||
* Bank of England announces its ''Special Liquidity Scheme'' to allow banks to swap some of their [[Liquidity|illiquid]] assets for liquid Treasury [[Bills]] for up to three years [http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/markets/sls/sls-information.pdf]. | * The [[Bank of England]] announces its ''Special Liquidity Scheme'' to allow banks to swap some of their [[Liquidity|illiquid]] assets for liquid Treasury [[Bills]] for up to three years [http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/markets/sls/sls-information.pdf]. | ||
===June=== | ===June=== | ||
* US house prices fall to 20% below their 2006 peak [http://www2.standardandpoors.com/portal/site/sp/en/us/page.topic/indices_csmahp/0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,2,1,0,0,0,0,0.html]. | * US house prices fall to 20% below their 2006 peak [http://www2.standardandpoors.com/portal/site/sp/en/us/page.topic/indices_csmahp/0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,2,1,0,0,0,0,0.html]. | ||
===August=== | ===August=== | ||
*The government-sponsored mortgage lenders ''Fannie Mae'' and ''Freddie Mac'' are rescued [http://nreionline.com/property/multifamily/real_estate_senate_okays_fannie/]. | *The government-sponsored mortgage lenders ''[[Fannie Mae]]'' and ''[[Freddie Mac]]'' are rescued [http://nreionline.com/property/multifamily/real_estate_senate_okays_fannie/]. | ||
===September=== | ===September=== | ||
7 [[Fannie Mae]] and [[Freddie Mac]] are nationalised [http://www.foxbusiness.com/story/markets/government-seied-fannie-mae-freddie-mac/]. | |||
*12 The ''Lehman Brothers'' [[investment bank]]goes bankrupt[http://www.lehman.com/press/pdf_2008/091508_lbhi_chapter11_announce.pdf] with losses of up to $160 billion to holders of its unsecured bonds prompting a sudden loss of confidence in [[money market]] funds and the onset of a [[credit crunch]]. | *12 The ''Lehman Brothers'' [[investment bank]]goes bankrupt[http://www.lehman.com/press/pdf_2008/091508_lbhi_chapter11_announce.pdf] with losses of up to $160 billion to holders of its unsecured bonds prompting a sudden loss of confidence in [[money market]] funds and the onset of a [[credit crunch]]. | ||
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* 6 The US ''Wachovia Corporation'' is to be rescued by a takeover by the ''Wells Fargo'' bank [http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,2144,3692522,00.html]. | * 6 The US ''Wachovia Corporation'' is to be rescued by a takeover by the ''Wells Fargo'' bank [http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,2144,3692522,00.html]. | ||
* 7 More European bank rescues [http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/industry_sectors/banking_and_finance/article4894402.ece]. | * 7 More European bank rescues [http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/industry_sectors/banking_and_finance/article4894402.ece]. | ||
* 8 UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Gordon Brown announces a £500 billion ''UK rescue plan'' to inject capital or take equity in banks and to guarantee interbank lending) [http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7658307.stm] [http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7658277.stm]. | * 8 UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Gordon Brown announces a £500 billion ''UK rescue plan'' to inject capital or take [[equity (finance)|equity]] in banks and to guarantee [[interbank market|interbank lending]]) [http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7658307.stm] [http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7658277.stm]. | ||
* A coordinated [[discount rate]] cut of half per cent by the [[central bank]]s of the United States, Europe, China, Britain, Canada, Sweden and Switzerland [http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7658958.stm]. | * A coordinated [[discount rate]] cut of half per cent by the [[central bank]]s of the United States, Europe, China, Britain, Canada, Sweden and Switzerland [http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/7658958.stm]. | ||
* 10 [[LIBOR]]-[[OIS]] [[spread]]s reach over 350 [[basis point]]s (compared with August 2007 rates of around 10 points)[http://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/es/08/ES0825.pdf]. | * 10 [[LIBOR]]-[[OIS]] [[spread]]s reach over 350 [[basis point]]s (compared with August 2007 rates of around 10 points)[http://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/es/08/ES0825.pdf]. | ||
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* 14 US President Bush announces new plans to inject capital, take equity in banks and guarantee interbank lending [http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2008/10/20081014.html]. | * 14 US President Bush announces new plans to inject capital, take equity in banks and guarantee interbank lending [http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2008/10/20081014.html]. | ||
* 19 A German bank rescue package is agreed [http://www.spiegel.de/international/business/0,1518,585156,00.html]. | * 19 A German bank rescue package is agreed [http://www.spiegel.de/international/business/0,1518,585156,00.html]. | ||
* 21 The US Federal Reserve | * 21 The US [[Federal Reserve System|Federal Reserve]] offers $540 billion loan support to [[money market]] mutual funds [http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=ajw94.nC0a5w&refer=home]. | ||
* 25 Denmark's ''Roskilde'' is bank to be taken over by its central bank [http://www.newsvine.com/_news/2008/08/25/1782809-danish-central-bank-rescues-nations-no-10-bank]. | * 25 Denmark's ''Roskilde'' is bank to be taken over by its central bank [http://www.newsvine.com/_news/2008/08/25/1782809-danish-central-bank-rescues-nations-no-10-bank]. | ||
===November=== | ===November=== | ||
* 23 The US ''Citigroup'' bank is rescued (the US government makes $20 billion cash injection and guarantees against loss on $306 billion of illiquid assets [http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/24/business/24citibank.html?_r=1&scp=2&sq=Citigroup%20rescue&st=cse] [http://www.ustreas.gov/press/releases/hp1287.htm] [http://www.ustreas.gov/press/releases/reports/cititermsheet_112308.pdf][http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122747680752551447.html?mod=special_page_campaign2008_mostpop] | * 23 The US ''Citigroup'' bank is rescued (the US government makes $20 billion cash injection and guarantees against loss on $306 billion of illiquid assets [http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/24/business/24citibank.html?_r=1&scp=2&sq=Citigroup%20rescue&st=cse] [http://www.ustreas.gov/press/releases/hp1287.htm] [http://www.ustreas.gov/press/releases/reports/cititermsheet_112308.pdf][http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122747680752551447.html?mod=special_page_campaign2008_mostpop] | ||
* The US Federal Reserve | * The US [[Federal Reserve System|Federal Reserve]] promises to buy up to $500 billion worth of mortgage-backed securities guarantee by [[Fannie Mae]] and [[Freddie Mac]] and up to $100billion worth of their direct debt [http://www.economist.com/finance/displaystory.cfm?story_id=12689745]. | ||
===December=== | ===December=== | ||
* 16 The US Federal Reserve | * 16 The US [[Federal Reserve System|Federal Reserve]] begins [[credit easing]] - [[open market operations]] raise the amount of [[base money]] from $0.9 trillion to $2.2 trillion [http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122948091644013041.html] | ||
==2009== | ==2009== | ||
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===April.=== | ===April.=== | ||
* G20 summit agrees to increase IMF funding to $750 billion; an increase in countries’ access to Special Drawing Rights and $250 billion-worth of new global-trade guarantees. | * The [[G20 summit]] agrees to increase [[International Monetary Fund|IMF]]funding to $750 billion; an increase in countries’ access to Special Drawing Rights and $250 billion-worth of new global-trade guarantees. | ||
===May.=== | ===May.=== | ||
* The European Central Bank cut its main policy interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point, to 1% | * The [[European Central Bank]] cut its main policy interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point, to 1% | ||
* Bank of England increases quantitative easing by raising central-bank reserves from £75 billion ($113 billion) to £125 billion. | * The [[Bank of England]] increases quantitative easing by raising central-bank reserves from £75 billion ($113 billion) to £125 billion. | ||
===June.=== | ===June.=== | ||
* The European Central Bank lent €3 billion ($4.2 billion) to Sweden’s central bank | * The [[European Central Bank]] lent €3 billion ($4.2 billion) to Sweden’s central bank | ||
* US banks repay $68 billion in loans they had received under the Troubled Asset Relief | * US banks repay $68 billion in loans they had received under the ''Troubled Asset Relief Program'' (including Morgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and American Express). | ||
* 27 The European Central Bank provides a €442 billion to the euro area’s banking system through an offer of unlimited one-year funds at 1% interest. | * 27 [[The European Central Bank]] provides a €442 billion to the euro area’s banking system through an offer of unlimited one-year funds at 1% interest. | ||
===July=== | ===July=== | ||
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====Europe==== | ====Europe==== | ||
* The European Central Bank cuts | * The [[European Central Bank]] cuts its main rate to 2% [http://www.ecb.int/stats/monetary/rates/html/index.en.html#data] | ||
* The UK announces a fiscal stimulus (including a temporary reduction of the rate of value-added tax from 17.5% to 15%, a bringing forward of £3 billion of capital investment, and a range of minor tax reductions). The Bank of England starts [[quantitative easing ]][http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/d/ck_letter_boe290109.pdf] and asset protection [http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/press_07_09.htm][http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/quarterlybulletin/mo09feb.pdf]. The Bank of England cuts discount rate from 2% to 1.5% [http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/news/2009/001.htm]. UK banks arelent £185 bn under the ''Special Liquidity Scheme'' [http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7867355.stm] | * The UK announces a [[fiscal stimulus]] (including a temporary reduction of the rate of value-added tax from 17.5% to 15%, a bringing forward of £3 billion of capital investment, and a range of minor tax reductions). The Bank of England starts [[quantitative easing ]][http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/d/ck_letter_boe290109.pdf] and asset protection [http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/press_07_09.htm][http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/quarterlybulletin/mo09feb.pdf]. The Bank of England cuts discount rate from 2% to 1.5% [http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/news/2009/001.htm]. UK banks arelent £185 bn under the ''Special Liquidity Scheme'' [http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7867355.stm] | ||
* Germany introduces a major fiscal stimulus package [http://www.economist.com/displayStory.cfm?story_id=12947570] | * Germany introduces a major [[fiscal stimulus]] package [http://www.economist.com/displayStory.cfm?story_id=12947570] | ||
===2009, 2nd quarter=== | ===2009, 2nd quarter=== | ||
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: Oil price rises - to over $70 per barrel | : Oil price rises - to over $70 per barrel | ||
====United States==== | ====United States==== | ||
* 10 banks repay Treasury loans' - received under the Troubled Asset Relief Program. The [[mark to market]] accounting rule is eased for inactive markets (to what an asset could fetch in an "orderly" transaction [http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSN0235590020090402] | * 10 banks repay Treasury loans' - received under the ''Troubled Asset Relief Program''. The [[mark to market]] accounting rule is eased for inactive markets (to what an asset could fetch in an "orderly" transaction [http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSN0235590020090402] | ||
====Europe==== | ====Europe==== | ||
* The | * The [[The European Central Bank]] discount rate is cut to 1 percent - the interest rate on the main refinancing operations of the [[Euro]] system be decreased by 25 basis points to 1.00%, from 13/05/09[http://www.ecb.int/press/pr/date/2009/html/pr090507.en.html]. ECB quantitative easing starts - with plans to buy €60bn worth of bonds. [http://www.ecb.int/press/pressconf/2009/html/is090507.en.html] ECB balance sheet total reaches €2,000 billion [http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/gfsr/2009/02/pdf/text.pdf]. | ||
* Ireland's supplementary budget - a number of tax increases and public expenditure cuts designed to reduce the deficit to 10.75 per cent of GDP for 2009 [http://www.budget.gov.ie/2009SupApril09/FinancialStatement.html]. | * Ireland's supplementary budget - a number of tax increases and public expenditure cuts designed to reduce the deficit to 10.75 per cent of GDP for 2009 [http://www.budget.gov.ie/2009SupApril09/FinancialStatement.html]. | ||
* The Bank of England discount rate is to reduced to0.5% and announces £75 billion asset purchase under its Asset Purchase Scheme [http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/markets/apf/] The Bank of England's balance sheet total reaches £227 billion [http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/gfsr/2009/02/pdf/text.pdf] | * The [[Bank of England]]'s [[discount rate]] is to reduced to0.5% and announces £75 billion asset purchase under its Asset Purchase Scheme [http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/markets/apf/] The Bank of England's balance sheet total reaches £227 billion [http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/gfsr/2009/02/pdf/text.pdf] | ||
====Asia==== | ====Asia==== | ||
: The Bank of Japan's balance sheet total reaches Y110,000 billion [http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/gfsr/2009/02/pdf/text.pdf]. | : The Bank of Japan's balance sheet total reaches Y110,000 billion [http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/gfsr/2009/02/pdf/text.pdf]. |
Revision as of 00:19, 10 March 2010
The 1980s
- Financial deregulation [1], [2].
- The US Savings and Loans crisis - failure of 296 US "Savings and Loans" mortgage lenders [3]
1990 - 2003
- Progressive discount rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (from 7% in 1990 t0 0.75% in 2003 [4].
- The United States housing boom begins (prices rise by 8% between 2002 and 2003)
2003 - 2006
- The Federal Reserve makes a series of discount rate increases (from 0.75% to 6.25% in 2006).
- The US housing boom continues [5] (Average 2006 house price about 70% above 2000 level)
2007
June
- 25 Two of the Bear Stearns bank's hedge funds suffer losses from mortgage defaults [6].
August
- 6 The American Home Mortgage Corporationgoes bankrupt [7].
- 9 The French bank BNP Paribas freezes its funds because it is unable to value their mortgage-backed assets. [8]
- 13 BBC's Robert Peston reports that the Northern Rock bank was seeking help from the Bank of England.
The Northern Rock bank suffers a bank run [9]
2008
January
- The US mortgage lender Countrywide is sold to Bank of America after its share price drops by 48% [10].
February
- The British Northern Rock bank is "nationalised [11].
March
- The US Bear Stearns bank is rescued following losses relating to mortgage-related assets by its hedge funds. [12]
April
- The Bank of England announces its Special Liquidity Scheme to allow banks to swap some of their illiquid assets for liquid Treasury Bills for up to three years [13].
June
- US house prices fall to 20% below their 2006 peak [14].
August
- The government-sponsored mortgage lenders Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are rescued [15].
September
7 Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are nationalised [16].
- 12 The Lehman Brothers investment bankgoes bankrupt[17] with losses of up to $160 billion to holders of its unsecured bonds prompting a sudden loss of confidence in money market funds and the onset of a credit crunch.
October
- 3 The (modified) $700 billion Paulson Plan (to purchase toxic assets) approved by Congress [18].
- The Dutch Fortis and ABN Amro banks are "nationalised" [19]. The German Hypo Real Estate bank is rescued [20].
- Iceland suffers an economic crisis [21].
- 6 The US Wachovia Corporation is to be rescued by a takeover by the Wells Fargo bank [22].
- 7 More European bank rescues [23].
- 8 UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Gordon Brown announces a £500 billion UK rescue plan to inject capital or take equity in banks and to guarantee interbank lending) [24] [25].
- A coordinated discount rate cut of half per cent by the central banks of the United States, Europe, China, Britain, Canada, Sweden and Switzerland [26].
- 10 LIBOR-OIS spreads reach over 350 basis points (compared with August 2007 rates of around 10 points)[27].
- 12 European Union leaders agree to adopt the UK rescue plan[28].
- 14 US President Bush announces new plans to inject capital, take equity in banks and guarantee interbank lending [29].
- 19 A German bank rescue package is agreed [30].
- 21 The US Federal Reserve offers $540 billion loan support to money market mutual funds [31].
- 25 Denmark's Roskilde is bank to be taken over by its central bank [32].
November
- 23 The US Citigroup bank is rescued (the US government makes $20 billion cash injection and guarantees against loss on $306 billion of illiquid assets [33] [34] [35][36]
- The US Federal Reserve promises to buy up to $500 billion worth of mortgage-backed securities guarantee by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and up to $100billion worth of their direct debt [37].
December
- 16 The US Federal Reserve begins credit easing - open market operations raise the amount of base money from $0.9 trillion to $2.2 trillion [38]
2009
January.
- 19 UK Fiscal and monetary stimulus [39]
- 19 UK Asset Protection Scheme [40] protection against credit losses in return for a fee.
February.
- 9 The US Financial Stability Plan[41] - including stress tests and capital assistance for major banks, a $500-1000 billion Public-Private Investment Fund[42], consumer and business lending and housing support.
- 13. The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act(H.R. 1) [43]) - a $839 billion stimulus package including $288 billion in tax cuts and benefits, $224 billion in increased education and health spending, and a $275 billion for contracts, grants and loans.
March.
- 3 The US Term Asset-backed Loan Facility [44].
- The US Making Home Affordable Program [45] (provides public money to lenders to reduce a borrower’s monthly payments)
April.
- The G20 summit agrees to increase IMFfunding to $750 billion; an increase in countries’ access to Special Drawing Rights and $250 billion-worth of new global-trade guarantees.
May.
- The European Central Bank cut its main policy interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point, to 1%
- The Bank of England increases quantitative easing by raising central-bank reserves from £75 billion ($113 billion) to £125 billion.
June.
- The European Central Bank lent €3 billion ($4.2 billion) to Sweden’s central bank
- US banks repay $68 billion in loans they had received under the Troubled Asset Relief Program (including Morgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and American Express).
- 27 The European Central Bank provides a €442 billion to the euro area’s banking system through an offer of unlimited one-year funds at 1% interest.
July
August
September
October.
- The Reserve Bank of Australia raised its main interest rate by 25 basis points, to 3.25%,
November
December.
- 9 The UKs Fiscal Consolidation Plan[46]
- Greece’s credit rating was downgraded to BBB+, with a negative outlook, by Fitch